Good morning Hurricane Watchers! 🙂 Ernesto is in Canadian waters and is once again a Category One Hurricane
⚠️ While we’ve been focused on Ernesto, there have been no other disturbances of note.
⚠️ Especially for those in Southeast Newfoundland, it remains prudent to monitor forecasts.
I am including the Canadian Hurricane Track and NOAAs cone. The NOAA cone shows that Ernesto will become post-tropical but will retain hurricane force winds as it passes Newfoundland. It is not expected to make landfall.
➡️ Hurricane Ernesto is expected to lose strength tonight.
➡️ Some re-intensification is possible later today, and Ernesto could regain hurricane status. (NOAA)
➡️ It will likely become a post-tropical depression within a day or so. (NOAA)
➡️ A Tropical Cyclone Information Statement and Rainfall Warning has been issued for parts of Newfoundland.
From NOAA Forecasting and Advisories…
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was located near latitude 40.2 North, longitude 60.5 West. Ernesto is moving toward the north-northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h), and a turn toward the northeast and east-northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected today and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto will pass near southeastern Newfoundland tonight and early Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today, and a weakening trend is expected to begin tonight. Ernesto is expected to lose tropical characteristics during the next day or so.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 972 mb (28.71 inches).
